Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2020-07-24 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Luis Robert
CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 225 lb · Age 29
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 425 | 47 | 88 | 14 | 23 | .224 | .278 | .379 | .657 |
| 2025 | 431 | 52 | 85 | 14 | 33 | .223 | .297 | .364 | .661 |
| 2026 | 230 | 26 | 45 | 11 | 2 | .221 | .300 | .407 | .707 |
| 7 Seasons | 2605 | 344 | 610 | 113 | 104 | .256 | .312 | .450 | .762 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.321 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.313 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.297
0.313
0.328
0.342
wOBA
0.311
0.329
0.350
0.370
0.389
ISO
0.142
0.157
0.174
0.191
0.206
K%
23.0%
24.4%
25.9%
27.5%
28.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
70
Exit velocity89.5
71
Hard-hit%39.1%
55
xBA0.327
60
xSLG0.572
73
xwOBA0.321
70
+15 vs proj
BB%10.1%
69
+37 vs proj
Bat speed75.0
98
K%24.6%
40
+16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.0 · CF
78
Arm Strength91.7 · CF
32
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
13
Range Runs0.0 · CF
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts6.0 · CF
49
Sprint Speed28.9 · CF
88
SB Success Rate25.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.3% · rebadged research
50
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.4% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
66
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
124 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.043 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Robert’s wOBA sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.321 — a gap of 0.029, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 248 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-09-03 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-04 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.373 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.307 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B |
| 2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-13 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |