Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 245 lb |
| Debut | 2020-09-12 |
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays
Alejandro Kirk
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 8", 245 lb · Age 27
Club Toronto Blue Jays
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 386 | 23 | 86 | 5 | 0 | .253 | .319 | .359 | .678 |
| 2025 | 506 | 45 | 127 | 15 | 1 | .282 | .348 | .421 | .769 |
| 2026 | 313 | 26 | 77 | 10 | 1 | .278 | .351 | .415 | .766 |
| 7 Seasons | 2382 | 210 | 566 | 61 | 2 | .270 | .346 | .401 | .747 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
41
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.346 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.323 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.311
0.323
0.336
0.347
wOBA
0.332
0.348
0.366
0.384
0.400
ISO
0.119
0.131
0.144
0.158
0.170
K%
10.8%
11.8%
12.9%
14.0%
15.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
20
-48 vs proj
Exit velocity88.3
54
Hard-hit%39.8%
57
-20 vs proj
xBA0.306
34
xSLG0.426
23
xwOBA0.308
56
-32 vs proj
BB%10.7%
77
+22 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
51
K%12.8%
96
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs3.7 · C
100
Catcher Throwing-0.9 · C
32
Framing Runs7.0 · C
98
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.9 · C
1
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.2% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
138 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.035 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Kirk’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.058, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 327 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2025-10-29 | Passive in-zone decisions capped the overall score |
| Fielding | 13 | 2026-09-26 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.343 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs NYY0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2 BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-03 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, RBI |
| 2026-04-01 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-30 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-03-27 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 15 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |