Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 194 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-26 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
John Rave
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 10", 194 lb · Age 28
Club Kansas City Royals
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 175 | 18 | 30 | 4 | 7 | .196 | .283 | .307 | .590 |
| 2026 | 161 | 26 | 33 | 6 | 8 | .232 | .314 | .430 | .744 |
| 2 Seasons | 336 | 44 | 63 | 10 | 15 | .214 | .298 | .366 | .664 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.289 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.300 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.276
0.300
0.324
0.346
wOBA
0.303
0.325
0.350
0.375
0.398
ISO
0.119
0.140
0.164
0.188
0.210
K%
18.9%
21.1%
23.5%
25.8%
28.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
77
+32 vs proj
Exit velocity83.6
10
Hard-hit%36.1%
40
-17 vs proj
xBA0.325
58
xSLG0.536
61
xwOBA0.315
63
+16 vs proj
BB%10.2%
71
Bat speed69.7
51
K%23.4%
49
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · RF
28
Arm Strength88.5 · RF
14
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs2.2 · RF
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts10.0 · RF
62
SB Success Rate88.9% · RF
77
Sprint Speed28.9 · RF
88
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.8% · rebadged research
18
Correct Decisions66.0% · rebadged research
48
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
51
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.310 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
81 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Rave’s wOBA sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.315 — a gap of 0.036, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 167 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 19 | 2026-09-26 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.767 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.301 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |