Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 175 lb |
| Debut | 2023-05-02 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Xavier Edwards
2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 9", 175 lb · Age 27
Club Miami Marlins
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 303 | 39 | 87 | 1 | 31 | .328 | .397 | .423 | .820 |
| 2025 | 619 | 75 | 159 | 3 | 27 | .283 | .343 | .353 | .696 |
| 2026 | 595 | 61 | 145 | 6 | 21 | .280 | .360 | .371 | .731 |
| 4 Seasons | 1601 | 187 | 414 | 10 | 84 | .291 | .359 | .371 | .730 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.288
0.298
0.308
0.319
0.329
wOBA
0.317
0.329
0.342
0.355
0.367
ISO
0.083
0.092
0.102
0.112
0.121
K%
12.5%
13.3%
14.2%
15.1%
16.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
15
Exit velocity85.5
25
Hard-hit%28.3%
12
xBA0.306
35
xSLG0.423
21
xwOBA0.311
59
BB%11.2%
82
+35 vs proj
Bat speed65.7
10
K%14.0%
92
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.5 · 2B
2
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
19
Range Runs-1.8 · 2B
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · 2B
77
Bolts8.0 · 2B
58
SB Success Rate78.9% · 2B
45
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.407 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
63
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
88
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
23
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
67
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.041 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Edwards’s wOBA sits at 0.342, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.031, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 607 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin, Austin MIN · R | 0.75 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Straw, Myles TOR · R | 0.68 | Barrel rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Antonacci, Sam CWS · L | 0.68 | Max exit velocitySprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Keaschall, Luke MIN · R | 0.65 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-07-08 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 20 | 2026-09-19 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.366 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | R |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | R |
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB, 2 R |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB |