Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Will Smith

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 31

Cards
17
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202454477118201.248.327.433.760
202543664107172.296.404.497.901
20262763561100.260.355.426.781
8 Seasons322244872213812.263.358.471.829
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
81
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
76
Defense4 metrics
46
Speed1 metrics
41
Plate skills10 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.342
xwOBA current pace0.389
xwOBA rolling p500.368
Observed weight57%
xwOBA
0.339 0.353 0.368 0.383 0.397
wOBA
0.319 0.336 0.355 0.374 0.391
ISO
0.136 0.150 0.165 0.180 0.193
K%
16.7% 17.8% 19.1% 20.4% 21.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
93
Exit velocity89.3
68
Hard-hit%41.7%
66
xBA0.345
78
xSLG0.621
84
xwOBA0.389
99
BB%11.8%
86
Bat speed68.2
32
K%17.8%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
74
Catcher Throwing-0.2 · C
52
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
31
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · C
41
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.5% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions70.7% · rebadged research
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.312 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
92
Resists FastballwOBA 0.358 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
30
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Smith, Will · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.389 2026-09-14: 0.3822026-09-18: 0.3772026-09-19: 0.3802026-09-20: 0.3802026-09-21: 0.3852026-09-22: 0.3852026-09-23: 0.3852026-09-24: 0.3892026-09-25: 0.3892026-09-26: 0.3922026-09-27: 0.3892026-09-28: 0.389 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

181 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Smith, Will · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsOppo 20% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 63.02026-03-20 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 17.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -27.02026-03-22 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 7.02026-03-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 37.02026-03-26 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 28.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA 0.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 17.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 11.02026-03-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -9.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -14.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · popup · EV 68.2 / LA 55.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -34.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 20.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 49.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 23.02026-03-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 15.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 17.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 26.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 54.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 15.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 41.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 78.9 / LA 22.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.5 / LA -48.02026-04-04 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 72.3 / LA 28.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 80.2 / LA 69.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 37.02026-04-07 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -31.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 26.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 32.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · popup · EV 85.9 / LA 60.02026-04-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 56.3 / LA -46.02026-04-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 84.9 / LA 14.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · popup · EV 93.6 / LA 66.02026-04-10 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -11.02026-04-10 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -19.02026-04-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 110.8 / LA 11.02026-04-11 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -4.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 44.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 0.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.5 / LA 70.02026-04-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 93.7 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA -55.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 17.02026-04-15 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 7.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 39.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 32.02026-04-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 7.02026-04-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 76.8 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 47.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -9.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 4.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 36.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 57.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 28.02026-04-20 · fielders choice · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -5.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 58.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 47.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -15.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 19.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 7.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 55.02026-04-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 25.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 49.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -11.02026-04-27 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 53.4 / LA 37.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 32.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 32.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 37.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 9.02026-04-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 75.9 / LA 19.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 20.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 79.2 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 16.02026-05-02 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 3.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -5.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 17.02026-05-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 17.02026-05-04 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 36.02026-05-04 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 21.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -1.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 16.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 39.02026-05-08 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 50.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 77.3 / LA 26.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 19.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 41.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 42.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -5.02026-05-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 18.02026-05-11 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 23.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 88.6 / LA 58.02026-05-12 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 21.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 28.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 40.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -2.02026-05-14 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 33.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 21.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA 3.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -1.02026-05-15 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 39.02026-05-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 2.02026-05-16 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 23.02026-05-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 64.3 / LA 66.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 30.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 38.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 58.02026-05-20 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -14.02026-05-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 10.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 11.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 20.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 40.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 45.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 55.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 33.02026-05-26 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 4.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 49.02026-05-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 13.02026-05-27 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 14.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 12.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 33.02026-06-04 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 13.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -4.02026-06-04 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -5.02026-09-01 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -29.02026-09-01 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 9.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 59.02026-09-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 34.02026-09-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 25.02026-09-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 34.02026-09-03 · field out · SL · popup · EV 87.9 / LA 68.02026-09-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 35.02026-09-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 49.02026-09-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.3 / LA 4.02026-09-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA 8.02026-09-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA 14.02026-09-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.2 / LA 24.02026-09-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 11.02026-09-07 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 36.02026-09-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 46.02026-09-08 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 31.02026-09-09 · field out · CU · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 65.02026-09-09 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 13.02026-09-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 31.02026-09-11 · field out · ST · popup · EV 74.5 / LA 60.02026-09-11 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.2 / LA 27.02026-09-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 43.02026-09-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 63.02026-09-12 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 76.2 / LA 11.02026-09-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 37.02026-09-13 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 15.02026-09-18 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 33.02026-09-18 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 29.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 28.02026-09-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 47.5 / LA -61.02026-09-20 · fielders choice out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.7 / LA -5.02026-09-22 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 30.02026-09-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 37.02026-09-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 15.02026-09-23 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -19.02026-09-25 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 16.02026-09-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 15.02026-09-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 12.02026-09-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -1.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 50.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Smith, Will · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 21%21%Whiff: 15%15%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 85%85%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Smith, Will · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.5 mph Hard swing rate 2% Whiff / swing 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 10"
Weight195 lb
Debut2019-05-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.042
wOBA Δ+0.009

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.355
xwOBA (deserved)0.389

Smith’s wOBA sits at 0.355, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.389 — a gap of 0.034, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 287 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting162026-09-19Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Fielding12026-09-132 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.084
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-5 | K
2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E2-4 | K, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E1-5
2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, 2 K