Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIN Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIN

Ryan Kreidler

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 208 lb · Age 28

Cards
22
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club MIN Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024659715.119.200.169.369
2025445402.105.190.105.295
2026267335384.218.286.379.665
5 Seasons47857791011.183.252.290.542
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
45
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
48
Defense4 metrics
75
Speed2 metrics
39
Plate skills10 metrics
66
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.252
xwOBA current pace0.295
xwOBA rolling p500.276
Observed weight56%
xwOBA
0.235 0.255 0.276 0.298 0.317
wOBA
0.282 0.298 0.317 0.336 0.353
ISO
0.113 0.132 0.153 0.175 0.194
K%
17.8% 20.2% 22.9% 25.6% 28.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
58 +16 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
41
Hard-hit%38.5%
51 +21 vs proj
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.510
54
xwOBA0.295
42 +31 vs proj
BB%7.5%
37
Bat speed70.9
70
K%22.1%
55 +33 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · SS
83
Arm Strength96.9 · SS
97
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs1.4 · SS
71
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate66.7% · SS
20
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
59
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions74.0% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.365 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Kreidler, Ryan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.295 2026-09-14: 0.2892026-09-18: 0.2882026-09-19: 0.2882026-09-20: 0.2882026-09-21: 0.2942026-09-22: 0.2952026-09-23: 0.2952026-09-24: 0.2952026-09-25: 0.2952026-09-26: 0.2952026-09-27: 0.2952026-09-28: 0.295 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

100 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Kreidler, Ryan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 75% of plotted batted ballsCenter 75%Right field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsOppo 9% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 65.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 28.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 102.7 / LA 57.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 38.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 56.0 / LA -79.02026-03-19 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -1.02026-03-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 4.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 50.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -33.02026-03-22 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 13.02026-03-22 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.7 / LA -6.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 25.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA 3.02026-04-11 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -16.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 22.02026-04-13 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 29.02026-04-13 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 2.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.4 / LA 69.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.4 / LA 64.02026-04-15 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 27.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 28.02026-04-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · popup · EV 83.2 / LA 65.02026-05-14 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 6.02026-05-14 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.8 / LA 15.02026-05-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -5.02026-05-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.0 / LA 11.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 19.02026-05-17 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -12.02026-05-20 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -6.02026-05-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 40.02026-05-22 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 73.0 / LA 21.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 77.5 / LA 37.02026-05-22 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -27.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -37.02026-05-24 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA -15.02026-05-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 7.02026-05-24 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -13.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -4.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 16.02026-06-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 62.1 / LA 60.02026-06-04 · triple · SI · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 8.02026-06-04 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.3 / LA 0.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 28.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 50.02026-06-07 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -5.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 67.02026-06-18 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 28.02026-06-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 24.02026-06-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 11.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 2.02026-06-20 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA -23.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 27.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -5.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · popup · EV 86.8 / LA 55.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -19.02026-06-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 3.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 58.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 54.02026-06-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 6.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.1 / LA 78.02026-06-30 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 2.02026-06-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -10.02026-08-02 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -9.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 35.02026-08-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 54.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -26.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 54.02026-08-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 37.02026-08-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 9.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -8.02026-08-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 1.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -45.02026-08-07 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 28.3 / LA -26.02026-08-07 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.6 / LA -1.02026-08-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 9.02026-08-08 · field out · ST · popup · EV 88.7 / LA 70.02026-08-23 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 34.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 61.02026-08-24 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 19.0 / LA -84.02026-08-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 43.02026-08-31 · field out · FA · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 27.02026-09-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 35.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 51.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 7.02026-09-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 14.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 9.02026-09-13 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 38.02026-09-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 43.02026-09-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 4.02026-09-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.0 / LA 2.02026-09-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -2.02026-09-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.6 / LA 10.02026-09-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -4.02026-09-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 43.2 / LA -66.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Kreidler, Ryan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.041
wOBA Δ+0.063

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.317
xwOBA (deserved)0.295

Kreidler’s wOBA sits at 0.317, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.022, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 281 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-08-25Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding192026-09-231 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.148
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.254 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection