Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

José Soriano

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 27

Cards
30
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024673.4222200113.0971.20
202510114.2631310169.01521.40
20261283.9132320177.11691.29
4 Seasons29293.90123830501.14741.31
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
47
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
55
Arsenal5 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.85
ERA current pace3.91
ERA rolling p503.89
Observed weight76%
ERA
2.73 3.28 3.89 4.51 5.06
FIP
3.18 3.48 3.82 4.16 4.47
K%
21.0% 21.9% 23.0% 24.0% 25.0%
BB%
8.6% 9.2% 9.8% 10.4% 11.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.31
55
ERA3.91
55
BB%10.0%
36
K%22.7%
55
xwOBA allowed0.323
36 -21 vs proj
Barrel allowed7.6%
46
Fastball velo96.7
83
Hard-hit allowed37.6%
56
Whiff%26.2%
77
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Curveball Stuff+104
81
Fastball Stuff+105
70
Mithrandir Stuff+104
64
Sinker Stuff+102
50
Slider Stuff+97
19
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Soriano, José · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.323 2026-09-18: 0.3222026-09-19: 0.3222026-09-20: 0.3222026-09-21: 0.3212026-09-22: 0.3212026-09-23: 0.3212026-09-24: 0.3212026-09-25: 0.3212026-09-26: 0.3232026-09-27: 0.3232026-09-28: 0.3232026-09-29: 0.323 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Soriano, José · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Soriano, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 29.8%Knuckle Curve: 25.4%4-Seam Fastball: 21.2%Split-Finger: 18.6%Slider: 5.0% SI30% · 96 mphprimary pitch SI 30%KC 25%FF 21%FS 19%SL 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Soriano, José · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 96.3 mphSI96 mphKnuckle Curve: 25% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 85.3 mphKC85 mph4-Seam Fastball: 21% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 97.1 mphFF97 mphSplit-Finger: 19% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 92.3 mphFS92 mphSlider: 5% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 90.2 mphSL90 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 36.1% 583 102 qualified
CB 32.2% 519 104 qualified
FB 24.6% 397 105 qualified
SL 7.1% 114 97 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2023-06-03
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.03
K% Δ-0.010

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.311
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.323

Soriano’s wOBA-against sits at 0.311, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.012, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 177 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching302026-09-25Sinker played up through SI/KC tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.7% K | 3.88 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 vs SD0 ER / 8 K5.2 IP
2026-04-12 @ CIN0 ER / 10 K7.0 IP
2026-04-06 vs ATL1 ER / 10 K8.0 IP
2026-03-31 @ CHC0 ER / 4 K6.0 IP
2026-03-26 @ HOU0 ER / 7 K6.0 IP