Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Sep 30 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

George Soriano

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 210 lb · Age 27

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024116.75220129.1291.36
2025208.35240136.2361.77
2026654.23700466.0661.39
4 Seasons965.3314217184.01831.45
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-30
40
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
49
Arsenal5 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-30
ERA preseason3.93
ERA current pace4.23
ERA rolling p504.10
Observed weight56%
ERA
2.18 3.09 4.10 5.11 6.02
FIP
2.95 3.68 4.48 5.28 6.00
K%
19.5% 21.3% 23.4% 25.4% 27.2%
BB%
7.9% 9.0% 10.2% 11.4% 12.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-30
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.37
44
ERA4.23
45
BB%11.6%
21 -31 vs proj
K%23.3%
59
xwOBA allowed0.327
33 -19 vs proj
Barrel allowed8.8%
29
Fastball velo96.5
81
Hard-hit allowed39.4%
43
Whiff%27.9%
86
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-30
Changeup Stuff+107
87
Fastball Stuff+100
32
Mithrandir Stuff+101
40
Slider Stuff+99
26
Sinker Stuff+106
80
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Soriano, George · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.327 2026-09-19: 0.3302026-09-20: 0.3302026-09-21: 0.3282026-09-22: 0.3282026-09-23: 0.3282026-09-24: 0.3272026-09-25: 0.3272026-09-26: 0.3272026-09-27: 0.3272026-09-28: 0.3272026-09-29: 0.3272026-09-30: 0.327 2026-09-19 2026-09-30 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 31%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Soriano, George · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 28%28%Called strike: 16%16%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Soriano, George · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 30.7%4-Seam Fastball: 29.8%Slider: 23.1%Sweeper: 9.4%Sinker: 6.9%Pitch Out: 0.1% CH31% · 90 mphprimary pitch CH 31%FF 30%SL 23%ST 9%SI 7%PO 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Soriano, George · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Changeup: 31% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 90.0 mphCH90 mph4-Seam Fastball: 30% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 96.5 mphFF97 mphSlider: 23% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 88.4 mphSL88 mphSweeper: 9% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 85.7 mphST86 mphSinker: 7% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 96.3 mphSI96 mphPitch Out: 0% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 95.3 mphPO95 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 35.1% 258 99 qualified
CH 29.9% 220 107 qualified
FB 27.6% 203 100 qualified
SI 7.3% 54 106 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 2"
Weight210 lb
Debut2023-04-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.26
K% Δ-0.004

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.339
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.327

Soriano’s wOBA-against sits at 0.339, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.327 — a gap of 0.012, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 69 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.6% K | 3.97 ERAProjection
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs CLE0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-12 vs BOS0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 @ WSH0 ER / 3 K2.0 IP
2026-04-05 @ DET1 ER / 0 K0.1 IP