Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago Cubs Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago Cubs

Phil Maton

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 206 lb · Age 33

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago Cubs Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024333.66710364.0601.11
2025452.79630561.1811.06
2026016.18310027.2311.81
10 Seasons23214.10509110500.05701.29
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
17
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
16
Arsenal5 metrics
59
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason3.81
ERA current pace6.18
ERA rolling p504.71
Observed weight38%
ERA
3.37 4.01 4.71 5.42 6.06
FIP
3.90 4.11 4.35 4.59 4.80
K%
18.4% 20.7% 23.2% 25.8% 28.0%
BB%
8.0% 9.3% 10.7% 12.0% 13.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.78
4
ERA6.18
9
BB%12.2%
17 -27 vs proj
K%22.3%
52
xwOBA allowed0.389
2 -44 vs proj
Barrel allowed13.0%
2 -51 vs proj
Fastball velo90.2
4
Hard-hit allowed44.6%
12
Whiff%21.5%
41 -30 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Curveball Stuff+103
64
Cutter Stuff+102
55
Mithrandir Stuff+103
63
Sinker Stuff+98
22
Slider Stuff+108
91
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Maton, Phil · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.389 2026-09-14: 0.3892026-09-18: 0.3892026-09-19: 0.3892026-09-20: 0.3892026-09-21: 0.3892026-09-22: 0.3892026-09-23: 0.3892026-09-24: 0.3892026-09-25: 0.3892026-09-26: 0.3892026-09-27: 0.3892026-09-28: 0.389 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 38%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Maton, Phil · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 22%22%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 59%59%Hard hit allowed: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Maton, Phil · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 37.7%Curveball: 28.9%Sinker: 17.9%Sweeper: 14.4%Changeup: 1.2% FC38% · 90 mphprimary pitch FC 38%CU 29%SI 18%ST 14%CH 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Maton, Phil · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Cutter: 38% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 89.6 mphFC90 mphCurveball: 29% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 58″ drop, 75.5 mphCU76 mphSinker: 18% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 27″ drop, 90.2 mphSI90 mphSweeper: 14% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 83.2 mphST83 mphChangeup: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 83.4 mphCH83 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 41.2% 160 102 limited sample
CB 28.4% 110 103 limited sample
SL 17.0% 66 108 limited sample
SI 13.4% 52 98 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 2"
Weight206 lb
Debut2017-06-11
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+2.79
K% Δ-0.015

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.433
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.389

Maton’s wOBA-against sits at 0.433, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.389 — a gap of 0.044, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 30 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.8% K | 3.39 ERAProjection
2026-05-20 vs MIL1 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 @ TB2 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-06 @ TB2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-03-31 vs LAA2 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-03-29 vs WSH0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP