Mithrandir Metrics
Player CWS Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / CWS

Jordan Hicks

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 217 lb · Age 30

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club CWS Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024474.1029201109.2961.45
2025276.95349267.1581.66
2026323.94532148.0641.54
8 Seasons20374.363283936468.14731.41
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
51
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
69
Arsenal4 metrics
34
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.02
ERA current pace4.02
ERA rolling p504.02
Observed weight49%
ERA
2.74 3.35 4.02 4.69 5.30
FIP
2.58 3.07 3.62 4.17 4.66
K%
22.1% 23.8% 25.7% 27.6% 29.2%
BB%
9.8% 10.7% 11.7% 12.8% 13.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.53
19
ERA4.02
51
BB%14.8%
4 -47 vs proj
K%29.6%
91 +47 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.262
93 +53 vs proj
Barrel allowed1.6%
100 +43 vs proj
Fastball velo99.2
99
Hard-hit allowed34.1%
81
Whiff%26.9%
81 +31 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Mithrandir Stuff+101
35
Sinker Stuff+100
34
Fastball Stuff+104
61
Slider Stuff+93
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Hicks, Jordan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.262 2026-09-13: 0.2662026-09-14: 0.2662026-09-18: 0.2642026-09-19: 0.2662026-09-20: 0.2662026-09-21: 0.2662026-09-22: 0.2662026-09-23: 0.2662026-09-24: 0.2662026-09-25: 0.2662026-09-26: 0.2662026-09-27: 0.262 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 45%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Hicks, Jordan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 27%27%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 59%59%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hicks, Jordan · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sinker: 45.1%Sweeper: 31.3%4-Seam Fastball: 19.9%Split-Finger: 3.7% SI45% · 99 mphprimary pitch SI 45%ST 31%FF 20%FS 4% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Hicks, Jordan · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sinker: 45% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 99.1 mphSI99 mphSweeper: 31% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 86.5 mphST87 mph4-Seam Fastball: 20% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 99.3 mphFF99 mphSplit-Finger: 4% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 90.9 mphFS91 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SI 50.4% 298 100 qualified
SL 32.0% 189 93 limited sample
FB 17.6% 104 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.52
K% Δ+0.084

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.6σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.345
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.262

Hicks’s wOBA-against sits at 0.345, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.262 — a gap of 0.082, 2.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 50 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching32026-08-30Stuff and strike quality carried the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202621.1% K | 4.54 ERAProjection