Mithrandir Metrics
Player Seattle Mariners Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Seattle Mariners

Víctor Robles

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 193 lb · Age 29

Cards
8
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Seattle Mariners Position RF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20242954478434.307.381.433.814
2025114122616.245.281.330.611
20261491534010.256.315.308.623
10 Seasons235928151536116.248.319.364.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
12
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
21
Defense4 metrics
60
Speed3 metrics
64
Plate skills10 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.290
xwOBA current pace0.280
xwOBA rolling p500.286
Observed weight43%
xwOBA
0.250 0.267 0.286 0.304 0.321
wOBA
0.298 0.321 0.346 0.371 0.393
ISO
0.077 0.097 0.119 0.140 0.160
K%
13.0% 14.8% 16.8% 18.7% 20.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.8%
10 -18 vs proj
Exit velocity82.2
5
Hard-hit%22.2%
5
xBA0.285
17
xSLG0.385
9
xwOBA0.280
26
BB%6.1%
24
Bat speed63.6
4
K%15.2%
89 +16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.9 · RF
88
Arm Strength97.3 · RF
77
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Range Runs0.2 · RF
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts9.0 · RF
60
SB Success Rate81.8% · RF
54
Sprint Speed28.4 · RF
78
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.3% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
71
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Robles, Victor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.280 2026-09-13: 0.2802026-09-14: 0.2802026-09-18: 0.2802026-09-19: 0.2802026-09-20: 0.2802026-09-21: 0.2802026-09-22: 0.2802026-09-23: 0.2802026-09-24: 0.2802026-09-25: 0.2802026-09-26: 0.2802026-09-27: 0.280 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2026Season 42%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Robles, Victor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 36%36%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 90%90%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 22%22% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Robles, Victor · 2026 arsenal snapshot Curveball: 42.3%4-Seam Fastball: 42.3%Eephus: 15.4% CU42% · 52 mphprimary pitch CU 42%FF 42%EP 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Robles, Victor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Curveball: 42% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 8″ drop, 51.6 mphCU52 mph4-Seam Fastball: 42% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 3″ drop, 76.5 mphFF76 mphEephus: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 41.0 mphEP41 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 0"
Weight193 lb
Debut2017-09-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.010
wOBA Δ+0.055

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.346
xwOBA (deserved)0.280

Robles’s wOBA sits at 0.346, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.280 — a gap of 0.066, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 165 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32025-10-12Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding52026-09-012 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.068
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 6 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ HOU0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 3B, BB, 2 RBI
2026-04-06 @ TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-03 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-03-31 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-03-30 vs NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K