Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2018-04-19 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Tyler O'Neill
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 200 lb · Age 31
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 473 | 74 | 99 | 31 | 4 | .241 | .336 | .511 | .847 |
| 2025 | 209 | 22 | 36 | 9 | 4 | .199 | .292 | .392 | .684 |
| 2026 | 260 | 31 | 49 | 10 | 1 | .212 | .300 | .377 | .677 |
| 9 Seasons | 2578 | 366 | 547 | 128 | 49 | .239 | .318 | .454 | .772 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
61
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.307 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.313 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.297
0.313
0.329
0.343
wOBA
0.280
0.297
0.316
0.335
0.352
ISO
0.139
0.156
0.175
0.194
0.210
K%
23.7%
25.3%
27.0%
28.7%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
62
-20 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
68
Hard-hit%42.5%
70
xBA0.311
39
xSLG0.572
73
xwOBA0.307
55
-16 vs proj
BB%10.0%
68
Bat speed70.8
69
K%27.4%
26
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.6 · RF
85
Arm Strength98.7 · RF
85
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
13
Range Runs-1.7 · RF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.3% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
77
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
84
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376 · validated
16
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
109 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.006 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
O'Neill’s wOBA sits at 0.316, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.307 — a gap of 0.009, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 270 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 4 | 2026-08-22 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.303 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.322 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ TB0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-08 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, HBP, R |
| 2026-04-07 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 |
| 2026-04-06 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | RBI |