Mithrandir Metrics
Player Detroit Tigers Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Detroit Tigers

Tyler Kinley

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 35

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Detroit Tigers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024616.196701264.0721.47
2025633.96730372.2731.18
2026753.45640157.1481.15
9 Seasons26194.56406022388.23901.32
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
59
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
65
Arsenal4 metrics
71
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason4.10
ERA current pace3.49
ERA rolling p503.79
Observed weight50%
ERA
1.98 2.84 3.79 4.75 5.61
FIP
2.99 3.72 4.53 5.34 6.07
K%
18.4% 20.3% 22.3% 24.4% 26.2%
BB%
8.3% 9.5% 10.8% 12.2% 13.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.15
79
ERA3.49
70
BB%10.8%
28
K%20.8%
42 -18 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.288
78
Barrel allowed6.3%
69 +34 vs proj
Fastball velo94.3
50
Hard-hit allowed27.7%
99
Whiff%25.2%
69 -18 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Mithrandir Stuff+106
82
Slider Stuff+107
88
Curveball Stuff+105
91
Fastball Stuff+98
24
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Kinley, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.288 2026-09-14: 0.2882026-09-18: 0.2862026-09-19: 0.2822026-09-20: 0.2822026-09-21: 0.2822026-09-22: 0.2822026-09-23: 0.2802026-09-24: 0.2852026-09-25: 0.2852026-09-26: 0.2852026-09-27: 0.2882026-09-28: 0.288 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 66%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Kinley, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 46%46%Whiff: 25%25%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 49%49%Hard hit allowed: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kinley, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Slider: 66.3%Curveball: 16.7%4-Seam Fastball: 15.5%Sinker: 1.2%Changeup: 0.3% SL66% · 87 mphprimary pitch SL 66%CU 17%FF 15%SI 1%CH 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Kinley, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Slider: 66% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.1 mphSL87 mphCurveball: 17% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 49″ drop, 83.0 mphCU83 mph4-Seam Fastball: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 94.4 mphFF94 mphSinker: 1% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 20″ drop, 94.3 mphSI94 mphChangeup: 0% usage, 13″ horizontal break, 28″ drop, 86.6 mphCH87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 69.1% 415 107 qualified
CB 16.5% 99 105 limited sample
FB 13.8% 83 98 limited sample
SI 0.7% 4 81 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2018-04-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.90
K% Δ-0.027

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.309
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.288

Kinley’s wOBA-against sits at 0.309, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.288 — a gap of 0.021, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 58 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.5% K | 4.39 ERAProjection
2026-04-20 @ WSH0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-15 vs MIA0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 vs MIA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-11 vs CLE1 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-07 @ LAA0 ER / 2 K0.2 IP