Mithrandir Metrics
Player TEX Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / TEX

Tyler Alexander

Player · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 1", 214 lb · Age 32

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club TEX Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024655.102390107.2901.24
20255144.98525197.2821.40
2026523.70755473.0601.32
8 Seasons27444.52270625619.25051.30
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
62
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
58
Arsenal6 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.72
ERA current pace3.55
ERA rolling p504.06
Observed weight57%
ERA
2.71 3.35 4.06 4.77 5.41
FIP
2.68 3.11 3.59 4.07 4.51
K%
17.4% 18.5% 19.8% 21.1% 22.2%
BB%
5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.31
55
ERA3.55
69
BB%7.6%
68 -19 vs proj
K%19.1%
30
xwOBA allowed0.279
85 +50 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.0%
94 +61 vs proj
Fastball velo91.7
12
Hard-hit allowed33.3%
86
Whiff%20.0%
26
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Changeup Stuff+98
24
Cutter Stuff+99
27
Fastball Stuff+103
55
Sinker Stuff+102
52
Slider Stuff+108
91
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Alexander, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.279 2026-09-13: 0.2742026-09-14: 0.2762026-09-18: 0.2742026-09-19: 0.2722026-09-20: 0.2722026-09-21: 0.2752026-09-22: 0.2752026-09-23: 0.2752026-09-24: 0.2742026-09-25: 0.2742026-09-26: 0.2792026-09-27: 0.279 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 23%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Alexander, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 47%47%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 18%18%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alexander, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot Changeup: 23.3%Cutter: 21.1%Sinker: 19.0%Sweeper: 18.4%4-Seam Fastball: 18.1%Knuckle Curve: 0.1% CH23% · 85 mphprimary pitch CH 23%FC 21%SI 19%ST 18%FF 18%KC 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Alexander, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ Changeup: 23% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 84.7 mphCH85 mphCutter: 21% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 88.3 mphFC88 mphSinker: 19% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphSweeper: 18% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 80.3 mphST80 mph4-Seam Fastball: 18% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 91.9 mphFF92 mphKnuckle Curve: 0% usage, 12″ horizontal break, 53″ drop, 75.4 mphKC75 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 23.4% 179 98 limited sample
FC 22.9% 175 99 limited sample
SI 20.0% 153 102 limited sample
SL 19.0% 145 108 limited sample
FB 14.7% 112 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.33
K% Δ+0.005

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.316
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.279

Alexander’s wOBA-against sits at 0.316, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.279 — a gap of 0.038, 1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 73 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching42026-07-22Run prevention outpaced the underlying contact signals
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202618.7% K | 4.88 ERAProjection