Mithrandir Metrics
Player Milwaukee Brewers Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers

Antonio Senzatela

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 235 lb · Age 31

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Milwaukee Brewers Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024016.5733012.171.86
20254156.6530230130.0731.84
20261154.05570473.1601.35
10 Seasons54645.092351454895.15911.50
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
49
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
52
Arsenal7 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
ERA preseason4.61
ERA current pace4.07
ERA rolling p504.30
Observed weight57%
ERA
2.63 3.42 4.30 5.18 5.98
FIP
2.87 3.44 4.07 4.70 5.27
K%
14.4% 16.0% 17.7% 19.4% 21.0%
BB%
6.3% 7.1% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.32
53
ERA4.07
50
BB%8.2%
59
K%19.2%
31 +20 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.310
54 +24 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.1%
72 +39 vs proj
Fastball velo97.1
88
Hard-hit allowed40.4%
36
Whiff%20.1%
27
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Cutter Stuff+96
11
Fastball Stuff+110
97
Mithrandir Stuff+104
69
Changeup Stuff+107
82
Curveball Stuff+101
30
Sinker Stuff+106
81
Slider Stuff+91
4
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Senzatela, Antonio · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.310 2026-09-14: 0.3092026-09-18: 0.3082026-09-19: 0.3102026-09-20: 0.3102026-09-21: 0.3092026-09-22: 0.3092026-09-23: 0.3092026-09-24: 0.3092026-09-25: 0.3092026-09-26: 0.3112026-09-27: 0.3102026-09-28: 0.310 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 33%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Senzatela, Antonio · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 39%39%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 15%15%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Senzatela, Antonio · 2026 arsenal snapshot Cutter: 33.4%4-Seam Fastball: 30.6%Sinker: 21.1%Curveball: 8.4%Changeup: 4.5%Slider: 1.9% FC33% · 92 mphprimary pitch FC 33%FF 31%SI 21%CU 8%CH 4%SL 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Senzatela, Antonio · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Cutter: 33% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 25″ drop, 92.3 mphFC92 mph4-Seam Fastball: 31% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 97.3 mphFF97 mphSinker: 21% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 22″ drop, 96.8 mphSI97 mphCurveball: 8% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 83.5 mphCU84 mphChangeup: 4% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 90.8 mphCH91 mphSlider: 2% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 31″ drop, 86.4 mphSL86 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FC 34.9% 304 96 qualified
FB 27.2% 237 110 qualified
SI 21.8% 190 106 limited sample
CB 8.9% 77 101 limited sample
CH 4.9% 43 107 limited sample
SL 2.2% 19 91 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height6' 1"
Weight235 lb
Debut2017-04-06
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.55
K% Δ+0.032

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.5σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.323
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.310

Senzatela’s wOBA-against sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.310 — a gap of 0.013, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 75 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching12026-02-20Command and chase profile drove the outing
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202616.1% K | 4.62 ERAProjection
2026-08-15 @ LAD0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-05-20 vs TEX0 ER / 1 K2.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ HOU0 ER / 3 K3.1 IP
2026-04-07 vs HOU0 ER / 3 K2.2 IP
2026-04-01 @ TOR0 ER / 3 K2.0 IP