Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Oct 6 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Matt Strahm

P · Bats/Throws R/L · 6' 2", 190 lb · Age 34

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024621.87660362.2790.75
2025232.74660662.1701.07
2026347.32410035.2301.49
11 Seasons37423.614363515553.06121.13
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-06
31
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
27
Arsenal6 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-06
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.50
22
ERA7.32
2
BB%8.5%
53
K%19.3%
31
xwOBA allowed0.316
45
Barrel allowed10.4%
11
Fastball velo91.3
9
Hard-hit allowed39.2%
45
Whiff%20.1%
28
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-10-06
Changeup Stuff+86
2
Cutter Stuff+96
11
Fastball Stuff+105
68
Mithrandir Stuff+102
48
Sinker Stuff+108
91
Slider Stuff+103
58
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Strahm, Matt · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.316 2026-09-25: 0.3162026-09-26: 0.3162026-09-27: 0.3162026-09-28: 0.3162026-09-29: 0.3162026-09-30: 0.3162026-10-01: 0.3162026-10-02: 0.3162026-10-03: 0.3162026-10-04: 0.3162026-10-05: 0.3162026-10-06: 0.316 2026-09-25 2026-10-06 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 37%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Strahm, Matt · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 52%52%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 48%48%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Strahm, Matt · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 37.5%Slider: 28.2%Sinker: 15.2%Changeup: 10.9%Cutter: 8.3% FF37% · 91 mphprimary pitch FF 37%SL 28%SI 15%CH 11%FC 8% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Strahm, Matt · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 37% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 91.3 mphFF91 mphSlider: 28% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 81.2 mphSL81 mphSinker: 15% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 91.4 mphSI91 mphChangeup: 11% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 43″ drop, 82.2 mphCH82 mphCutter: 8% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 87.5 mphFC88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 36.3% 109 105 limited sample
SL 29.3% 88 103 limited sample
CH 14.0% 42 86 limited sample
SI 12.3% 37 108 limited sample
FC 8.0% 24 96 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lb
Debut2016-07-31
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ--
K% Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

3.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.417
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.316

Strahm’s wOBA-against sits at 0.417, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.316 — a gap of 0.101, 3.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 39 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-20 vs BAL0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-04-14 @ DET0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-06 @ CLE1 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs MIL2 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-02 vs MIN0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP