Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago Cubs Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago Cubs

Tyler Ferguson

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 4", 225 lb · Age 32

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Chicago Cubs Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024423.68480251.1621.09
2025424.66560258.0541.33
2026015.30180018.2211.02
3 Seasons854.3612204128.01371.19
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
39
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal6 metrics
39
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.88
ERA current pace5.30
ERA rolling p504.23
Observed weight25%
ERA
2.36 3.25 4.23 5.21 6.10
FIP
3.35 3.89 4.49 5.09 5.64
K%
18.7% 21.2% 24.1% 27.0% 29.5%
BB%
6.2% 7.8% 9.6% 11.4% 12.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Changeup Stuff+99
33
Cutter Stuff+92
2
Fastball Stuff+101
40
Mithrandir Stuff+102
49
Sinker Stuff+98
24
Slider Stuff+106
82
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

6Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Ferguson, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 56%56%Hard hit allowed: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ferguson, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 46.1%Sweeper: 21.2%Sinker: 9.6%Cutter: 8.9%Slider: 8.2%Changeup: 6.1% FF46% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 46%ST 21%SI 10%FC 9%SL 8%CH 6% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Ferguson, Tyler · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 17″ drop, 95.5 mphFF95 mphSweeper: 21% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 37″ drop, 84.1 mphST84 mphSinker: 10% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 95.6 mphSI96 mphCutter: 9% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 87.3 mphFC87 mphSlider: 8% usage, 5″ horizontal break, 44″ drop, 83.3 mphSL83 mphChangeup: 6% usage, 14″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 86.7 mphCH87 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 44.7% 68 101 limited sample
SL 29.6% 45 106 limited sample
SI 11.8% 18 98 limited sample
CH 7.2% 11 99 limited sample
FC 6.6% 10 92 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height6' 4"
Weight225 lb
Debut2024-05-07
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202622.8% K | 3.82 ERAProjection