Mithrandir Metrics
Player Kansas City Royals Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Kansas City Royals

Carlos Estévez

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 6", 277 lb · Age 33

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
--
Club Kansas City Royals Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024452.455402655.0500.91
2025452.456704266.0541.06
202601162.001000.1018.00
10 Seasons31374.085060124485.24941.33
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
3
Pitching
percentile
Arsenal2 metrics
3
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.08
ERA current pace162.00
ERA rolling p5017.34
Observed weight8%
ERA
15.51 16.38 17.34 18.31 19.18
FIP
2.46 3.34 4.32 5.29 6.17
K%
16.2% 19.4% 22.9% 26.5% 29.7%
BB%
6.6% 8.2% 9.9% 11.7% 13.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+81
1
Mithrandir Stuff+82
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

3Pitches 2025Season 54%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Estévez, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 33%33%Zone: 38%38%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 11%11%First pitch strike: 27%27%Hard hit allowed: 67%67% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2025
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estévez, Carlos · 2025 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 53.5%Slider: 30.8%Changeup: 15.6% FF54% · 96 mphprimary pitch FF 54%SL 31%CH 16% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Estévez, Carlos · 2025 arsenal snapshot 9″18″27″36″ 4-Seam Fastball: 54% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 95.7 mphFF96 mphSlider: 31% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 87.3 mphSL87 mphChangeup: 16% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 26″ drop, 87.6 mphCH88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 55.6% 15 81 limited sample
CH 22.2% 6 92 limited sample
SL 22.2% 6 86 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 6"
Weight277 lb
Debut2016-04-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

No Live State delta is available for this profile yet.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.1% K | 4.00 ERAProjection
2026-03-23 @ TEX0 ER / 3 K1.0 IP
2026-03-20 @ SF0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-03-18 @ TEX0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP