Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Carlos Rodón

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 255 lb · Age 33

Cards
12
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
20241693.9632320175.01951.22
20251893.0933330195.12031.05
2026732.671616084.1911.06
12 Seasons100753.6724724201366.115001.21
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
69
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
64
Arsenal5 metrics
35
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason3.70
ERA current pace2.67
ERA rolling p503.09
Observed weight59%
ERA
2.04 2.54 3.09 3.65 4.15
FIP
2.70 3.16 3.66 4.17 4.63
K%
23.0% 24.3% 25.9% 27.4% 28.7%
BB%
8.1% 8.8% 9.6% 10.4% 11.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.06
89
ERA2.67
89
BB%11.1%
24 -33 vs proj
K%26.7%
80
xwOBA allowed0.304
62
Barrel allowed6.8%
62 +33 vs proj
Fastball velo94.1
45
Hard-hit allowed38.6%
48
Whiff%26.2%
76
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+104
67
Mithrandir Stuff+101
43
Slider Stuff+98
21
Changeup Stuff+100
33
Sinker Stuff+96
13
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rodón, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.304 2026-09-13: 0.3002026-09-14: 0.3002026-09-18: 0.3072026-09-19: 0.3072026-09-20: 0.3072026-09-21: 0.3072026-09-22: 0.3072026-09-23: 0.3042026-09-24: 0.3042026-09-25: 0.3042026-09-26: 0.3042026-09-27: 0.304 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 46%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rodón, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 36%36%Zone: 45%45%Whiff: 26%26%Called strike: 14%14%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodón, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 46.0%Slider: 25.5%Changeup: 14.5%Sinker: 12.4%Curveball: 1.7% FF46% · 94 mphprimary pitch FF 46%SL 25%CH 15%SI 12%CU 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rodón, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 46% usage, 4″ horizontal break, 13″ drop, 94.3 mphFF94 mphSlider: 25% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 38″ drop, 86.1 mphSL86 mphChangeup: 15% usage, 11″ horizontal break, 32″ drop, 85.2 mphCH85 mphSinker: 12% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 23″ drop, 93.4 mphSI93 mphCurveball: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 58″ drop, 79.0 mphCU79 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 47.6% 380 104 qualified
SL 26.3% 210 98 qualified
CH 13.3% 106 100 limited sample
SI 11.9% 95 96 limited sample
CB 1.0% 8 99 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 2"
Weight255 lb
Debut2015-04-21
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-1.20
K% Δ+0.023

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.3σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.267
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.304

Rodón’s wOBA-against sits at 0.267, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.304 — a gap of 0.036, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 84 IP. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Pitching122026-09-22Four-Seam Fastball played up through FF/SL tunnel quality
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202624.4% K | 3.87 ERAProjection