Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Aaron Judge

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 7", 282 lb · Age 34

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position RF Roster Current MLB team Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20247041221805810.322.458.7011.159
20256791371795312.331.457.6881.145
20262854557185.241.360.511.871
11 Seasons5287918126238670.291.410.6101.020
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
99
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
89
Defense4 metrics
45
Speed2 metrics
19
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.435
xwOBA current pace0.396
xwOBA rolling p500.413
Observed weight57%
xwOBA
0.382 0.397 0.413 0.429 0.443
wOBA
0.368 0.385 0.404 0.424 0.441
ISO
0.242 0.261 0.282 0.303 0.322
K%
25.5% 26.9% 28.4% 29.9% 31.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.2%
100
Exit velocity94.3
99
Hard-hit%58.3%
100
xBA0.402
99
xSLG0.887
100
xwOBA0.396
99
BB%15.0%
98
Bat speed74.2
96
K%30.6%
15 -22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · RF
71
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
63
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
13
Range Runs-1.7 · RF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate57.1% · RF
9
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
30
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions69.4% · rebadged research
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
33
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.416 · validated
1
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Judge, Aaron · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.396 2026-09-14: 0.4032026-09-18: 0.3962026-09-19: 0.3962026-09-20: 0.3962026-09-21: 0.3962026-09-22: 0.3962026-09-23: 0.3962026-09-24: 0.3962026-09-25: 0.3962026-09-26: 0.3962026-09-27: 0.3962026-09-28: 0.396 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

147 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Judge, Aaron · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 65% of plotted batted ballsCenter 65%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-22 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 111.7 / LA 25.02026-03-23 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 109.5 / LA 6.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 12.02026-03-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -17.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 30.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 37.02026-03-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 51.4 / LA -77.02026-03-28 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 33.02026-03-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 0.02026-03-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 51.0 / LA -33.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 7.02026-03-31 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.9 / LA -31.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 45.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 28.02026-04-01 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -17.02026-04-03 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 13.02026-04-03 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 31.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -6.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 111.9 / LA 18.02026-04-04 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 7.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 31.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 1.02026-04-05 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 37.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.2 / LA -26.02026-04-05 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 110.7 / LA 22.02026-04-07 · field out · CU · popup · EV 65.6 / LA 38.02026-04-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA -8.02026-04-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.4 / LA -5.02026-04-09 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.1 / LA 1.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.8 / LA -48.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA -24.02026-04-10 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 110.1 / LA 15.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -14.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 22.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · popup · EV 79.7 / LA 54.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · popup · EV 61.9 / LA 39.02026-04-12 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 31.02026-04-13 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 116.2 / LA 26.02026-04-13 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -5.02026-04-13 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 111.4 / LA 27.02026-04-13 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 20.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 6.02026-04-14 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 20.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · popup · EV 76.9 / LA 66.02026-04-15 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 29.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 4.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.5 / LA 73.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 44.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.3 / LA 54.02026-04-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 32.02026-04-17 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 21.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -1.02026-04-19 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 111.6 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · popup · EV 93.1 / LA 68.02026-04-21 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -3.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -8.02026-04-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA -12.02026-04-22 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 11.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.4 / LA -6.02026-04-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 14.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 31.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 37.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 5.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 58.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 37.02026-04-26 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 31.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 15.02026-04-27 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 110.3 / LA 20.02026-04-27 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 16.02026-04-27 · home run · CU · line_drive · EV 113.0 / LA 20.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 112.7 / LA 36.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 21.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 40.4 / LA -50.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.7 / LA -17.02026-05-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 1.02026-05-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 78.9 / LA 26.02026-05-03 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -8.02026-05-03 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 33.02026-05-03 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 15.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -10.02026-05-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 22.02026-05-04 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 1.02026-05-04 · home run · KC · fly_ball · EV 110.6 / LA 27.02026-05-05 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 27.02026-05-06 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 34.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 17.02026-05-07 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 108.8 / LA 7.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 6.02026-05-07 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 47.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 56.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.2 / LA 20.02026-05-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 5.02026-05-10 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 26.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 50.02026-05-11 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 3.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 17.02026-05-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA -54.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -11.02026-05-12 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -3.02026-05-13 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA -18.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · popup · EV 76.9 / LA 62.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA -20.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 6.02026-05-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 15.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 47.02026-05-16 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 87.5 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 12.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 40.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 33.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.3 / LA 65.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 0.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 36.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -13.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 110.0 / LA 18.02026-05-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA -6.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -21.02026-05-21 · field out · CU · popup · EV 87.6 / LA 66.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.9 / LA 1.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 34.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 23.02026-05-24 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 34.02026-05-24 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 14.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 47.02026-05-24 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 1.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 1.02026-05-25 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 11.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 21.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 1.02026-05-26 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 20.02026-05-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -5.02026-05-27 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 51.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -2.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 33.02026-05-31 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 48.02026-05-31 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 46.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 31.02026-09-09 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 5.02026-09-09 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 34.02026-09-09 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 18.02026-09-11 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 13.02026-09-12 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 3.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 25.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 37.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Judge, Aaron · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 58%58% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Judge, Aaron · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.7 mph Hard swing rate 58% Whiff / swing 33% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age34
Height6' 7"
Weight282 lb
Debut2016-08-13
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.072
wOBA Δ-0.063

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.404
xwOBA (deserved)0.396

Judge’s wOBA sits at 0.404, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.396 — a gap of 0.008, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 294 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting162026-05-26Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.468 xwOBA | 46 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 4 K
2026-04-17 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2B, BB, K
2026-04-15 vs LAA1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, RBI, R
2026-04-14 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, 2 K
2026-04-13 vs LAA2 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2 HR, K, 3 RBI