Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Taylor Rogers

P · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 190 lb · Age 35

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position P Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Pitch Lab Projections
WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024142.40640060.0641.25
2025323.38570050.2531.38
2026644.33650260.1541.59
11 Seasons37403.44631085601.26801.23
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
30
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
39
Arsenal4 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.85
ERA current pace4.40
ERA rolling p504.15
Observed weight55%
ERA
2.58 3.32 4.15 4.97 5.72
FIP
3.15 3.63 4.17 4.70 5.19
K%
17.8% 19.5% 21.4% 23.2% 24.9%
BB%
8.7% 9.7% 10.9% 12.0% 13.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.65
10
ERA4.40
40
BB%11.8%
20
K%18.7%
27 -30 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.312
51
Barrel allowed5.7%
79 +48 vs proj
Fastball velo92.0
16
Hard-hit allowed27.3%
99
Whiff%16.9%
8 -48 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Mithrandir Stuff+103
62
Sinker Stuff+96
16
Slider Stuff+109
94
Cutter Stuff+95
6
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Rogers, Taylor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.312 2026-09-18: 0.3222026-09-19: 0.3222026-09-20: 0.3222026-09-21: 0.3182026-09-22: 0.3142026-09-23: 0.3142026-09-24: 0.3142026-09-25: 0.3142026-09-26: 0.3122026-09-27: 0.3122026-09-28: 0.3122026-09-29: 0.312 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

4Pitches 2026Season 49%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Rogers, Taylor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 48%48%Whiff: 17%17%Called strike: 20%20%First pitch strike: 52%52%Hard hit allowed: 27%27% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Taylor · 2026 arsenal snapshot Sweeper: 48.8%Sinker: 35.8%Cutter: 14.7%Slider: 0.6% ST49% · 78 mphprimary pitch ST 49%SI 36%FC 15%SL 1% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Rogers, Taylor · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Sweeper: 49% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 45″ drop, 77.9 mphST78 mphSinker: 36% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 24″ drop, 92.0 mphSI92 mphCutter: 15% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.1 mphFC88 mphSlider: 1% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 39″ drop, 84.5 mphSL84 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
SL 45.3% 290 109 qualified
SI 35.9% 230 96 qualified
FC 18.8% 120 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 3"
Weight190 lb
Debut2016-04-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ+0.41
K% Δ-0.043

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

2.0σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.372
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.312

Rogers’s wOBA-against sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.312 — a gap of 0.061, 2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 61 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202623.0% K | 3.99 ERAProjection
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 ER / 1 K1.0 IP
2026-04-07 vs DET0 ER / 2 K1.0 IP
2026-04-05 vs TB0 ER / 0 K0.2 IP
2026-04-04 vs TB2 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-02 @ KC0 ER / 1 K0.1 IP