Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Elías Díaz

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 223 lb · Age 35

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024351278660.265.313.382.695
2025283345290.204.270.337.607
2026237215180.234.266.404.670
12 Seasons3037297685792.246.298.385.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
45
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
45
Defense4 metrics
71
Speed1 metrics
2
Plate skills10 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.279
xwOBA current pace0.269
xwOBA rolling p500.274
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.242 0.257 0.274 0.291 0.306
wOBA
0.262 0.280 0.300 0.320 0.338
ISO
0.127 0.145 0.165 0.185 0.203
K%
21.1% 22.9% 24.9% 26.8% 28.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
77 +43 vs proj
Exit velocity87.1
41
Hard-hit%41.1%
63 +18 vs proj
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.488
46
xwOBA0.269
18
BB%3.8%
7 -19 vs proj
Bat speed72.3
83
K%24.3%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
67
Catcher Throwing1.0 · C
72
Framing Runs0.4 · C
59
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.1% · rebadged research
29
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.3% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
64
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.311 · validated
91
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Díaz, Elias · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.269 2026-09-14: 0.2722026-09-18: 0.2672026-09-19: 0.2662026-09-20: 0.2662026-09-21: 0.2662026-09-22: 0.2662026-09-23: 0.2662026-09-24: 0.2662026-09-25: 0.2662026-09-26: 0.2642026-09-27: 0.2642026-09-28: 0.269 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

92 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Díaz, Elias · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsPull 21%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 329 CF 407 RF 326 2026-03-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA -3.02026-04-19 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 39.02026-04-19 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 10.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -19.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -3.02026-04-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.0 / LA 14.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 61.6 / LA 61.02026-04-30 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 29.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 6.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 81.8 / LA 12.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 26.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 47.5 / LA -41.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 52.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -21.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 2.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 7.02026-05-20 · field error · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 52.02026-05-20 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 28.02026-06-07 · single · FA · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 6.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 47.02026-06-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.9 / LA 40.02026-06-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 12.02026-06-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 2.02026-06-22 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 6.02026-06-22 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 29.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.7 / LA 70.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -35.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 56.2 / LA 23.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 51.1 / LA -76.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 8.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 45.02026-07-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 75.8 / LA 22.02026-07-01 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 23.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -29.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 80.4 / LA 77.02026-07-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 37.02026-08-02 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 1.02026-08-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -5.02026-08-04 · field out · ST · popup · EV 79.4 / LA 78.02026-08-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 35.02026-08-05 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -1.02026-08-05 · field out · CH · popup · EV 85.3 / LA 74.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 38.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 23.02026-08-07 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 48.8 / LA -41.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 21.02026-08-14 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 59.5 / LA -69.02026-08-14 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 13.02026-08-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA -21.02026-08-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 62.7 / LA -31.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 25.02026-08-19 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 47.2 / LA -73.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -28.02026-08-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 0.02026-08-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA -1.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.0 / LA 66.02026-08-23 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 16.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 18.02026-08-23 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 29.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 45.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.6 / LA 22.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.4 / LA 69.02026-08-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -4.02026-08-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 73.7 / LA 56.02026-08-30 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.8 / LA 26.02026-08-30 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 27.02026-08-31 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 21.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -5.02026-09-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 17.02026-09-02 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 20.02026-09-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.0 / LA 5.02026-09-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA -29.02026-09-03 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 14.02026-09-04 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 23.02026-09-04 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 22.02026-09-04 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -16.02026-09-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.5 / LA 68.02026-09-06 · sac bunt · SL · ground_ball · EV 37.0 / LA -62.02026-09-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA -9.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.4 / LA 67.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 48.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 50.02026-09-12 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 21.02026-09-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -8.02026-09-12 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 8.02026-09-13 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 8.02026-09-13 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 25.4 / LA -24.02026-09-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 53.02026-09-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -27.02026-09-22 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 42.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 54.02026-09-27 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 33.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Díaz, Elias · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 1"
Weight223 lb
Debut2015-09-12
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.004
wOBA Δ+0.027

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.300
xwOBA (deserved)0.269

Díaz’s wOBA sits at 0.300, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.269 — a gap of 0.031, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 239 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-02Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.273 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-05-20 vs BOS1 HR | 2 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-1