Mithrandir Metrics
Player TEX Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / TEX

Kyle Higashioka

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 202 lb · Age 36

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club TEX Position -- Roster profile Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20242632954172.220.263.476.739
20253273373113.241.291.403.694
2026186203670.218.306.370.676
10 Seasons1699176343755.218.268.406.674
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
47
Defense4 metrics
26
Speed1 metrics
3
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-28
xwOBA preseason0.298
xwOBA current pace0.295
xwOBA rolling p500.297
Observed weight48%
xwOBA
0.265 0.280 0.297 0.314 0.329
wOBA
0.309 0.329 0.352 0.375 0.395
ISO
0.131 0.151 0.172 0.194 0.213
K%
21.4% 23.0% 24.8% 26.7% 28.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
61
Exit velocity87.4
44
Hard-hit%40.2%
59
xBA0.306
34
xSLG0.491
47
xwOBA0.295
42
BB%10.0%
68 +47 vs proj
Bat speed68.0
30
K%25.5%
35
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
58
Catcher Throwing-2.2 · C
11
Framing Runs-1.7 · C
28
Pop Time2.0 · C
8
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.6 · C
3
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.8% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.249 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.348 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
6
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Higashioka, Kyle · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.295 2026-09-14: 0.2952026-09-18: 0.2952026-09-19: 0.2952026-09-20: 0.2952026-09-21: 0.2952026-09-22: 0.2952026-09-23: 0.2952026-09-24: 0.2952026-09-25: 0.2952026-09-26: 0.2952026-09-27: 0.2952026-09-28: 0.295 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 88%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Higashioka, Kyle · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 31%31%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Higashioka, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot Eephus: 88.2%Other: 11.8% EP88% · 41 mphprimary pitch EP 88%FA 12% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Higashioka, Kyle · 2026 arsenal snapshot 6″12″18″24″ Eephus: 88% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 12″ drop, 41.1 mphEP41 mphOther: 12% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 5″ drop, 59.0 mphFA59 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.000
wOBA Δ+0.057

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.352
xwOBA (deserved)0.295

Higashioka’s wOBA sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.057, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 200 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-06-25Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.295 xwOBA | 17 HRProjection