Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Fernando Cruz

P · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 237 lb · Age 36

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position P Roster Current MLB team Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

WLERAGGSSVIPSOWHIP
2024384.86693066.21091.34
2025343.56490248.0721.19
2026463.13610254.2671.34
5 Seasons11214.0325174250.03671.27
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
62
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
62
Arsenal4 metrics
30
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
ERA preseason3.87
ERA current pace3.13
ERA rolling p503.50
Observed weight50%
ERA
1.84 2.63 3.50 4.37 5.16
FIP
1.88 2.71 3.63 4.56 5.39
K%
28.2% 30.1% 32.4% 34.6% 36.5%
BB%
9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 13.6% 14.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.34
49
ERA3.13
80
BB%13.4%
9
K%29.3%
90
xwOBA allowed0.281
84
Barrel allowed9.6%
17 -18 vs proj
Fastball velo93.1
28
Hard-hit allowed28.1%
98
Whiff%37.4%
99
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-09-29
Mithrandir Stuff+98
20
Fastball Stuff+101
37
Sinker Stuff+95
13
Slider Stuff+102
48
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Cruz, Fernando · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.281 2026-09-18: 0.2812026-09-19: 0.2812026-09-20: 0.2812026-09-21: 0.2812026-09-22: 0.2812026-09-23: 0.2812026-09-24: 0.2812026-09-25: 0.2812026-09-26: 0.2812026-09-27: 0.2812026-09-28: 0.2812026-09-29: 0.281 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 51%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Cruz, Fernando · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 35%35%Zone: 42%42%Whiff: 37%37%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cruz, Fernando · 2026 arsenal snapshot Split-Finger: 51.5%4-Seam Fastball: 31.6%Sweeper: 13.6%Sinker: 3.0%Slider: 0.3% FS51% · 80 mphprimary pitch FS 51%FF 32%ST 14%SI 3%SL 0% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cruz, Fernando · 2026 arsenal snapshot 12″24″36″48″ Split-Finger: 51% usage, 0″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 80.0 mphFS80 mph4-Seam Fastball: 32% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 15″ drop, 93.2 mphFF93 mphSweeper: 14% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 36″ drop, 82.2 mphST82 mphSinker: 3% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 19″ drop, 92.6 mphSI93 mphSlider: 0% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 80.4 mphSL80 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 65.1% 183 101 limited sample
SL 28.5% 80 102 limited sample
SI 6.4% 18 95 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 2"
Weight237 lb
Debut2022-09-02
Live layer

Delta / regression

ERA Δ-0.43
K% Δ-0.050

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.1σ gap
wOBA-against (actual)0.314
xwOBA-against (deserved)0.281

Cruz’s wOBA-against sits at 0.314, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.281 — a gap of 0.033, 1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 55 IP. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Pitcher Projections 202634.2% K | 3.56 ERAProjection
2026-04-15 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K1.0 IP
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 ER / 0 K0.1 IP
2026-04-11 @ TB0 ER / 1 K0.2 IP
2026-04-07 vs ATH0 ER / 1 K1.1 IP
2026-04-05 vs MIA1 ER / 2 K0.2 IP