The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jeffers, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 388 PA

Ranked comps for Jeffers, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.78 Swing lengthIsolated powerBat speed Sprint speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2zWhiff rate +0.9z
02 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 425 PA 0.76 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zBarrel rate -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z
03 Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA 0.75 Swing lengthBat speedBarrel rate Pull rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z
04 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 446 PA 0.73 Chase rateIsolated powerOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +0.9z
05 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.73 Barrel rateWhiff rateWalk rate Max exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0z
06 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.70 Max exit velocityWalk ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z
07 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 438 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactPull rate Ground-ball rate +1.3zSwing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.67 Pull rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z
09 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 563 PA 0.67 Sprint speedWalk ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -0.9zPull rate -0.8z
10 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +0.9z
11 Machado, Manny SD · R · 688 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateWalk rate Swing length +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.2z
12 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA 0.65 Swing lengthMax exit velocityIsolated power Fly-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3zSprint speed +1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.