Mithrandir Metrics
Diagnostic PHI Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Optimization diagnostic / PHI

Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola's production (42) outpaces the tools grade (32) by 10 points. Primary finding: existing knuckle curve is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired gloveside-drop window.

Score
11
Tools
32
Gap
-9.8
Data window 2026-09-12 / 2026-09-26Confidence MEDIUM
Optimization map

Arsenal shape map

Hover each pitch to inspect current usage, movement shape, and whiff context beside the written diagnosis.

View arsenal in 3D →
ride armside gloveside
Movement reshape

Pitch movement dual-view

Current shape against the recommended movement window. Animation starts when this section scrolls into view.

Knuckle CurveArsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop
Δ HB -12.0in · Δ VB -2.0in
Top-down · horizontal break Side view · vertical break
Current: HB 9.0in / VB -6.0in Recommended: HB -3.0in / VB -8.0in
Diagnosis

Fixable gaps

SignalCauseFixConfidence
Arsenal Shape: Gloveside Drop0.60Existing Knuckle Curve is present, but its movement shape does not currently cover the desired gloveside-drop window.Reshape existing Knuckle Curve to add gloveside drop rather than developing a new pitch from scratch.Shape refinement would improve platoon coverage while preserving the existing usage signal.HIGH
Arsenal / metrics

Underlying components

ComponentUsageVeloWhiff
Knuckle CurveKC35%78.637.1%
Four-Seam FastballFF31%92.017.1%
ChangeupCH16%85.19.5%
SinkerSI15%91.20.0%
CutterFC6%85.70.0%